This man is holding a piece of fruit in his hand.
这个人手里拿着一块水果。
The piece of fruit is either an orange or an apple.
这块水果不是橘子就是苹果。
We can’t see which it is because we can’t see inside the box.
我们看不见它是哪个,因为我们看不见盒子里面。
The probability that it is an orange is equal to the probability that it is anapple.
它是橙色的概率等于它是苹果的概率。
It may be an apple, and it may be an orange.
它可能是一个苹果,它可能是一个橙子。
It’s got to be one or the other.
非此即彼。
It can’t be anything else.
不可能是别的什么。
Now let’s look at it from the man’s point of view.
现在让我们从男人的角度来看这个问题。
From his point of view, the probabilities are different.
从他的观点来看,概率是不同的。
From his point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 100% or 0%.
从他的观点来看,他有橙子的概率是100%或0%。
That’s because he knows what he has.
那是因为他知道他有什么。
For him there is no uncertainty.
对他来说,没有不确定性。
If he has an orange, the probability is 100%.
如果他有一个橙子,概率是100%。
If he doesn’t have an orange, the probability is 0%.
如果他没有橘子,概率是0%。
He either has it or he doesn’t.
他要么有,要么没有。
From our point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 50%.
从我们的观点来看,他有橙子的概率是50%。
From his point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 100% or 0%.
从他的观点来看,他有橙子的概率是100%或0%。
So the probability depends on your point of view.
所以概率取决于你的观点。
People see things from different points of view.
人们从不同的角度看待事物。
This often leads to arguments between people.
这常常导致人与人之间的争论。
Here are some examples.
下面是一些例子。
From this man’s point of view, he is relaxing.
从这个人的角度来看,他在放松。
He needs to relax because he has been working too hard.
他需要放松,因为他工作太辛苦了。
He hasn’t been getting enough sleep.
他睡眠不足。
His wife sees things differently.
他的妻子看待事情的方式不同。
She isn’t aware of how hard he has been working.
她不知道他工作有多辛苦。
From her point of view, he is doing nothing.
从她的角度来看,他什么也不做。
However, she knows what needs to be done around the house.
然而,她知道家里需要做些什么。
It isn’t fair that she has to work while he does nothing.
她必须工作而他却什么都不做,这不公平。
When people see things from different points of view, they often come to differentconclusions.
当人们从不同的角度看待事物时,他们往往得出不同的结论。
These differences can cause real communication problems.
这些差异可能引起真正的沟通问题。
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