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多少人真正拥有比特币?(附英文原文)

多少人真正拥有比特币?(附英文原文)

作者: 比特跃动 | 来源:发表于2021-02-11 08:56 被阅读0次

只有2%的账户地址拥有超过1个比特币。

通过比特币持币地址查询,可以看到差不多有2.83%的地址持有超过1比特币也就是差不多有63万个地址持有超过1比特币。但是人与比特币地址不是一一对应的,所以为了看的更清晰,我们需要深挖一下:

持币地址

场景1:1-10个比特币,1地址1人;

场景2:总量<1比特币,10地址1人;

场景3:总量10-100比特币,1地址10人,比如放到交易所。

模拟假设

基于以上的假设,猜测至少有100万人拥有超过1个比特币。


English Version

ONLY ABOUT 2% OF ADDRESSES HOLD 1 BITCOIN OR MORE.

We’ll begin by checking the distribution of Bitcoin by addresses as presented by BitInfoCharts.

As you can see, there are 633,008 addresses that have at least 1 BTC (1.68 million coins in total), which is 2.18% of all addresses out there. However, one address doesn’t necessarily equal one person, so we’ll have to dig deeper in order to obtain a realistic range.

We already have the first scenario, in which one person has a single wallet with no less than one Bitcoin. That’s the best-case scenario for us – it’s the most convenient one for counting.

But the situation gets trickier in the second scenario, in which one person can possess a total amount of 1+ Bitcoin but in several different addresses. For example, one might hold 0.8 BTC in one wallet and 0.2 in another one, or keep 0.1 BTC each in 10 different wallets. In these cases, the addresses would have less than one coin, so they should be displayed in other rows of the distribution table – the ones that we initially ignored. Counting those who hold at least 1BTC in the second scenario would be much more difficult, as they possess any of the 98% of addresses that contain less than 1 BTC.

There is also a third scenario. For example, you would expect that we should count a wallet holding 10 BTC. However, it might belong to a company or association where each member is eligible to less than 1 Bitcoin from that wallet, so he/she shouldn’t make our list.

Anyway, based on the distribution table, we can be sure that between 500,000 and 1 million people have at least 1 BTC.

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