L4 Unit 2-2 Listening概率、角度
This man is holding a piece of food in this hand. The piece of food is either an orange or an apple. What can’t see which it’s because we can see inside the box. The probability that it is an orange is equal to the probability that it is an apple. It may be an apple or it may be an orange. It’s going to be one or the other. It can’t be anything else.
Now let’s look at it from the man’s point of view. From his point of view, the probability is different. From his point of view, the possibility that he has an orange is 100% or 0%. That’s because he knows what he has. For hi m, that is not uncertainty. If he has an orange, the probability is 100%. If he doesn’t have an orange, the probability is 0%. He either has it or he doesn’t.
From our point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 50%. From his point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 100% or 0%. So the probability depends on the point of view.
People see things from different points of view. This often leads to arguments between the people. Here are some examples. From his man’s point of view, he is relaxing. He needs to relax because he has been working too hard. He hasn’t been getting sleep. His wife see things differently. She isn’t aware of how hard he has been working. From her point of view, he is doing nothing. However, she knows what needs to be done around the house. It isn’t fair that she has to work while he does nothing. When people see things fromdifferent points of view, they often come to different conclusion. This differences can cause real communication problems.
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