Result and System

Better and Better                                                                                                Day 46

      Today we continue to learn the decision-making based on the thinking in bets. The state of scientific decision is to seperate decision-making from luck. What pokers players can do is to choose the option with the biggest probability to win money. As for the result, it’s just a matter of luck. A clear headed person must be able to distinguish between decisions and luck. It is called “ resulting ” . in poker games, what you should care about is not the result of one game, but a scientific decision-making system can win a lot of money. If you change your decision system at will because of one loss, that is the resulting theory, which means that you have no system. Ordinary people pays more attention to the result, but expert likes system.               

    今天我們繼續講基於賭博思維的決策。科學決策的境界是把決策水平和運氣分開。撲克選手能做的是選贏錢概率大的選項。至於結果沒成功，那衹是運氣問題。頭腦清醒的人必須能區分決策和運氣。這稱之爲“結果論”。撲克要打很多把，你在乎的應該是一個能夠以大概率贏錢的科學決策系統，而不是某一把的輸贏。如果因爲一把輸了就隨意改動決策系統，這就是結果論，這就相當於你沒有系統。普通人更關注結果，高手更關注系統。

                                                                                                              Oct.9th ,2018                                                                                                                      Bazhou.