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探索式回归工具的测试与结果解析

探索式回归工具的测试与结果解析

作者: 寒__ | 来源:发表于2020-01-02 15:30 被阅读0次

    参考

    测试一

    分析内容

    • 数据源 TI_ZoneStatis,记录数57条,其中
      —— 因变量:驻点区域的单位时间内(2019年8月)的总复电时长TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
      —— 解释变量:驻点区域的人数TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME
      —— 解释变量:驻点区域单位时间内的故障数TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY
    • 默认阈值参数设置
      —— 校正 R 平方:0.5
      —— 系数 p 值 :0.05
      —— 方差膨胀因子 VIF:7.5
      —— Jarque-Bera p 值:0.1
      —— 空间自相关 p 值:0.1

    工具运行结果

    Parameters
    Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
    Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
    Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY
    Weights Matrix File 
    Output Report File  
    Output Results Table    
    Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
    Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
    Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
    Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
    Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
    Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
    Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
     
    Messages
    Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:00:36
    Running script ExploratoryRegression...
     WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
     WARNING 001171: Cannot construct models with 5 variables.
     WARNING 001172: Setting Maximum Number of Variables parameter to: 2.
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 1 of 2 Summary
                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results               
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                             
     0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***     
    -0.01 1566.35 0.00  0.44 1.00 0.23  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
                                      Passing Models                                  
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
    0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 2 of 2 Summary
                                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                               
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                             
     0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
           Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
    Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                       Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
                 Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      3        2    66.67
                Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      3        1    33.33
                          Max VIF Value < 7.50      3        3   100.00
                Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      3        2    66.67
    Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      3        3   100.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Variable Significance                 
    Variable                           % Significant % Negative % Positive
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                100.00       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME          0.00      50.00      50.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Multicollinearity               
    Variable                            VIF Violations Covariates
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME 1.02     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY         1.02     0      --------
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                           
          JB     AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                             
    0.941548  0.779323 1480.841662 0.000710 1.018190 0.119914  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    0.892218  0.781877 1478.907478 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
    0.000011 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.437676 1.000000 0.230225  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                    
          SA     AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                             
    0.119914  0.779323 1480.841662 0.941548 0.000710 1.018190  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    0.166937  0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
    0.230225 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.000011 0.437676 1.000000  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Table Abbreviations
    AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
    AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
    JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
    K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
    VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
    SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
    Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
    Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Completed script Exploratory Regression...
    Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:00:37 (Elapsed Time: 0.60 seconds)
    

    参数解析

    • 阈值条件解释:
      —— 模型合格需要小于设置的最大 p 值系数边界 0.05
      —— AdjR2,校正的R平方,用于评估模型性能 / 模型预测的准确度。值的大小表示模型可解释因变量中多少百分比的变化。模型合格需要大于设置的可接受的最小校正 R 平方0.5
      —— AICc,经过修正的 Akaike 信息准则,用于比较不同模型。值越小,模型越好。具有越小 AICc 值的模型会更符合已观测的数据。
      —— JB,Jarque-Bera p 值,用于评估模型的偏差,检验正态分布的偏差是否具有统计学上的显著性。模型合格需要大于设置的可接受的最小Jarque Bera p 值0.1
      —— K(BP),Koenker 的标准化 Breusch-Pagan p 值,用于评估模型的稳态,用于确定模型的解释变量是否在地理空间和数据空间中都与因变量具有一致的关系。对于大小为 95% 的置信度,p 值(概率)小于 0.05 表示模型具有统计学上的显著异方差性和/或非稳态。
      —— VIF,最大方差膨胀因子,用于测量解释变量中的冗余,一般来说,超过设置的阈值表示有冗余。合格模型需要小于设置的可接受的最大 VIF 边界值 7.5
      —— SA,残差空间自相关的测量(Global Moran’s I p 值),评估残差的空间自相关。合格模型需要大于设置的可接受的最小空间自相关 p 值 0.1
      —— 其中,通过的模型表示在接受所有默认搜索条件(可接受的最小校正 R 平方、最大 p 值系数边界、最大 VIF 值边界、可接受的最小 Jarque Bera p 值和可接受的最小空间自相关 p 值参数)的前提下, 模型合格

    结果分段解析

    • 工具分别挑选1个和2个解释变量进行组合运行普通最小二乘法回归OLS,对尝试的模型进行评估
    • 选中 1 / 2 执行最大校正 R 平方结果
      —— 解释变量故障数FREQUENCY的模型显著,可以解释78%的因变量,为合格模型。
    Choose 1 of 2 Summary
                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results               
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                             
     0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***     
    -0.01 1566.35 0.00  0.44 1.00 0.23  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
                                      Passing Models                                  
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
    0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    
    • 选中 2 / 2 执行最大校正 R 平方结果
      —— 没找到合格的模型
    Choose 2 of 2 Summary
                                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                               
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                             
     0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
           Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    
    • 探索式回归全局汇总
    Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
    Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                       Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
                 Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      3        2    66.67
                Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      3        1    33.33
                          Max VIF Value < 7.50      3        3   100.00
                Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      3        2    66.67
    Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      3        3   100.00
    
    • 变量显著性汇总
      —— 故障数的显著性为100%,驻点人数为0%
    Summary of Variable Significance                 
    Variable                           % Significant % Negative % Positive
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                100.00       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME          0.00      50.00      50.00
    
    • 多重共线性汇总
      —— 无冗余
    Summary of Multicollinearity               
    Variable                            VIF Violations Covariates
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME 1.02     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY         1.02     0      --------
    
    • 残差正态的汇总
      —— 包含解释变量故障数的模型具有显著性。
      —— 只含有解释变量驻点人数的模型不显著。
    Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                           
          JB     AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                             
    0.941548  0.779323 1480.841662 0.000710 1.018190 0.119914  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    0.892218  0.781877 1478.907478 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
    0.000011 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.437676 1.000000 0.230225  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
    
    • 残差自相关的汇总
      —— 包含解释变量故障数的模型具有显著性。
      —— 只含有解释变量驻点人数的模型不显著。
    Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                    
          SA     AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                             
    0.119914  0.779323 1480.841662 0.941548 0.000710 1.018190  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    0.166937  0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
    0.230225 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.000011 0.437676 1.000000  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
    

    阶段性结论

    单位时间内(2019年8月),各驻点区域的总复电时长与该区域的故障数关系显著,与该区域的驻点人数关系不显著

    测试二

    Parameters
    Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
    Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
    Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZoneStatis.SHAPE_Leng;TI_ZoneStatis.Shape_Area;TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_GPSLine_DISTANCE
    Weights Matrix File 
    Output Report File  
    Output Results Table    
    Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
    Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
    Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
    Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
    Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
    Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
    Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
    
    Messages
    Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:09:29
    Running script ExploratoryRegression...
    WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 1 of 5 Summary
                       Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                    
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                      
    0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***              
    0.12 1558.20 0.00  0.37 1.00 0.22  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE***
    0.02 1564.55 0.00  0.45 1.00 0.33  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                   
                                     Passing Models                                  
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
    0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 2 of 5 Summary
                                      Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                  
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                   
    0.78 1480.61 0.90  0.00 1.16 0.09  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
    0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***      
    0.78 1480.93 0.92  0.00 1.03 0.11  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                
          Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 3 of 5 Summary
                                                        Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                     
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                        
    0.79 1478.32 0.75  0.00 5.92 0.89  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                     
    0.78 1481.81 0.87  0.00 1.77 0.29  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**        
    0.78 1482.64 0.97  0.00 1.18 0.06  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
                                                                   Passing Models                                                               
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                   
    0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915 0.891006  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 4 of 5 Summary
                                                                       Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                   
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                     
    0.80 1479.32 0.67  0.00 6.23 0.91  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***             
    0.79 1480.24 0.80  0.00 6.34 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**     
    0.78 1483.84 0.94  0.00 1.78 0.22  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
                                                                                         Passing Models                                                                                      
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                                                                
    0.791954 1480.241588 0.800448 0.000171 6.337681 0.859701  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 5 of 5 Summary
                                                                                       Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                                   
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
    0.79 1481.38 0.74  0.00 6.67 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
          Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
    Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                      Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
                Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50     31       16    51.61
               Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05     31        4    12.90
                         Max VIF Value < 7.50     31       31   100.00
               Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10     31       16    51.61
    Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10     15       11    73.33
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Variable Significance                    
    Variable                                 % Significant % Negative % Positive
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                      100.00       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE         43.75       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                         25.00      87.50      12.50
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                         25.00      12.50      87.50
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME                0.00      50.00      50.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Multicollinearity                  
    Variable                                  VIF Violations Covariates
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                 6.24     0      --------  
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                 6.67     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME       1.08     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY               1.19     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE 1.90     0      --------
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                                                             
         JB    AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                                                                                                   
    0.985942 0.776451 1482.920357 0.000149 1.050026 0.069601  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                           
    0.973258 0.777540 1482.642003 0.000129 1.178170 0.059345  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE                           
    0.973112 0.773314 1485.132557 0.000241 1.892902 0.054804  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                                                                       
         SA    AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
    0.907084 0.795280 1479.323035 0.666325 0.001442 6.232262  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                             
    0.891006 0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                                                                  
    0.860542 0.793254 1481.383145 0.743731 0.001920 6.669903  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Table Abbreviations
    AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
    AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
    JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
    K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
    VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
    SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
    Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
    Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Completed script Exploratory Regression...
    Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:09:30 (Elapsed Time: 0.49 seconds)
    

    测试三

    Parameters
    Input Features  TI_FaultPointInfo
    Dependent Variable  TI_FaultPointInfo.TI_LeaveToResume
    Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_GPSLine.DISTANCE
    Weights Matrix File 
    Output Report File  
    Output Results Table    
    Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
    Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
    Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
    Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
    Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
    Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
    Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
     
    Messages
    Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:12:43
    Running script ExploratoryRegression...
     WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
     WARNING 001171: Cannot construct models with 5 variables.
     WARNING 001172: Setting Maximum Number of Variables parameter to: 1.
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 1 of 1 Summary
              Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results         
    AdjR2      AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model               
     0.00 211946.80 0.00  0.06 1.00 0.00  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
           Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    * Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_FAULTPOINTINFO.TI_LEAVETORESUME) *
    Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                       Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
                 Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      1        0     0.00
                Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      1        0     0.00
                          Max VIF Value < 7.50      1        1   100.00
                Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      1        0     0.00
    Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      1        0     0.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Variable Significance          
    Variable            % Significant % Negative % Positive
    TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE          0.00       0.00     100.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Multicollinearity         
    Variable                 VIF Violations Covariates
    TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE --------     0      --------
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                    
          JB    AdjR2          AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model               
    0.000000 0.002982 211946.802860 0.058840 1.000000 0.000000  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)             
          SA    AdjR2          AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model               
    0.000000 0.002982 211946.802860 0.000000 0.058840 1.000000  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Table Abbreviations
    AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
    AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
    JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
    K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
    VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
    SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
    Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
    Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Completed script Exploratory Regression...
    Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:12:52 (Elapsed Time: 9.12 seconds)
    

    测试四

     
    Parameters
    Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
    Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
    Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZoneStatis.SHAPE_Leng;TI_ZoneStatis.Shape_Area;TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_GPSLine_DISTANCE
    Weights Matrix File 
    Output Report File  
    Output Results Table    
    Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
    Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
    Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
    Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
    Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
    Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
    Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
     
    Messages
    Start Time: 2019年12月26日 10:09:38
    Running script ExploratoryRegression...
     WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 1 of 5 Summary
                        Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                    
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                      
     0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***              
     0.12 1558.20 0.00  0.37 1.00 0.22  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE***
     0.02 1564.55 0.00  0.45 1.00 0.33  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                   
                                      Passing Models                                  
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
    0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 2 of 5 Summary
                                       Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                  
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                   
     0.78 1480.61 0.90  0.00 1.16 0.09  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
     0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***      
     0.78 1480.93 0.92  0.00 1.03 0.11  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                
           Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 3 of 5 Summary
                                                         Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                     
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                        
     0.79 1478.32 0.75  0.00 5.92 0.89  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                     
     0.78 1481.81 0.87  0.00 1.77 0.29  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**        
     0.78 1482.64 0.97  0.00 1.18 0.06  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
                                                                    Passing Models                                                               
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                   
    0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915 0.891006  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 4 of 5 Summary
                                                                        Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                   
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                     
     0.80 1479.32 0.67  0.00 6.23 0.91  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***             
     0.79 1480.24 0.80  0.00 6.34 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**     
     0.78 1483.84 0.94  0.00 1.78 0.22  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
                                                                                          Passing Models                                                                                      
    AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                                                                
    0.791954 1480.241588 0.800448 0.000171 6.337681 0.859701  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
    ******************************************************************************
    Choose 5 of 5 Summary
                                                                                        Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                                   
    AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
     0.79 1481.38 0.74  0.00 6.67 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
           Passing Models       
    AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
    ******************************************************************************
    Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
    Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                       Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
                 Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50     31       16    51.61
                Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05     31        4    12.90
                          Max VIF Value < 7.50     31       31   100.00
                Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10     31       16    51.61
    Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10     15       11    73.33
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Variable Significance                    
    Variable                                 % Significant % Negative % Positive
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                      100.00       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE         43.75       0.00     100.00
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                         25.00      87.50      12.50
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                         25.00      12.50      87.50
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME                0.00      50.00      50.00
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Multicollinearity                  
    Variable                                  VIF Violations Covariates
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                 6.24     0      --------  
    TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                 6.67     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME       1.08     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY               1.19     0      --------  
    TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE 1.90     0      --------
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                                                             
          JB    AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                                                                                                   
    0.985942 0.776451 1482.920357 0.000149 1.050026 0.069601  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                           
    0.973258 0.777540 1482.642003 0.000129 1.178170 0.059345  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE                           
    0.973112 0.773314 1485.132557 0.000241 1.892902 0.054804  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                                                                       
          SA    AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
    0.907084 0.795280 1479.323035 0.666325 0.001442 6.232262  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                             
    0.891006 0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                                                                  
    0.860542 0.793254 1481.383145 0.743731 0.001920 6.669903  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Table Abbreviations
    AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
    AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
    JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
    K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
    VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
    SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
    Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
    Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Completed script Exploratory Regression...
    Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 10:09:39 (Elapsed Time: 0.74 seconds)
    

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