[学习翻译]Emerging Science and Technology Trends: 2016-2045/新兴科技趋势：2016-2045

Rise of Global Middle Class/中产阶级的崛起

Membership in the global middle class is expected to more than double over the next 15 years, from 1.8 billion to almost 5 billion.
By 2030, 60% of the world’s population could belong to the middle class, with the majority of middle class growth occurring in Asia.

未来15年，全球中产阶级成员预计将增加一倍以上，从18亿增至近50亿。
到2030年，全球60%的人口可能属于中产阶级，而中产阶级的大部分增长发生在亚洲。

The growth of the global middle class will be accompanied by significant growth in levels of education and technology access worldwide — by 2030, around 90% of the world’s population will know how to read, and 50% will have Internet access. However, the quality and availability of education and technology will remain uneven, with developed nations holding significant advantages over the developing world well into the 2040s.

全球中产阶级的增长将伴随着全球教育和技术水平的显著增长——到2030年，全球约90%的人口将知道如何阅读，50%的人将拥有互联网接入。然而，教育质量和科技水平的不平等仍然存在，直到21世纪40年代，发达国家仍比发展中国家拥有显著优势。

As incomes rise, people around the world will have more disposable income to spend on consumer electronics and other goods and services. This could fuel significant innovation across a wide class of technologies. Mobile and cloud computing could receive a significant boost in investment as more people are able to afford smartphones with connections to high speed wireless Internet service. Social technologies would likely grow in parallel as Internet access becomes more widespread.
Demand for human augmentation technologies could also grow, especially for less expensive augmentations such as wearables and pharmaceutical enhancements. Blended reality technologies may become more ubiquitous as delivery vehicles for immersive, interactive entertainment and distributed education. Investments in the Internet of Things may grow as the emerging middle class invests in smart home products and governments make investments in digitally-enhanced infrastructure. While the rate of growth in these and other technology sectors will depend on how far global incomes rise, it is likely that the rise of the global middle class will fuel broad-based innovation in science and technology.

随着收入的增加，世界各地的人们将有更多的可支配收入用于消费电子产品和其他商品和服务。这可能会推动广泛技术领域的重大创新。随着越来越多的人能够负担得起连接高速无线互联网服务的智能手机，移动和云计算可能会大幅增加投资。随着互联网的普及，社交技术可能会同步增长。
对人体增强技术的需求也可能增长，尤其是对可穿戴设备和药物增强等不太昂贵的增强技术。混合现实技术作为沉浸式、交互式娱乐和分布式教育的交付工具，可能会变得更加普遍。随着新兴中产阶级投资智能家居产品，政府投资数字增强基础设施，对物联网的投资可能会增加。尽管这些和其他科技行业的增长率将取决于全球收入增长的程度，但全球中产阶级的崛起很可能会推动的广泛的科技创新。