This man is holding a piece of fruit in his hand. The piece of fruit is either an orange or an apple.We can't see which it is because we can't see inside the box.
The probability that it isn't an orange equals the probability that it isn't an apple. It maybe an apple, and it maybe an orange. It's got to be one or the other. It can't be anything else.
Now let's look at the main Point of view.
For his point of view, the probabilities are different.From his point of view, the probability that he hasn't an orange is 100 percent or 0 percent.
That's because he knows what he has. For him, there is no uncertainty.
If he has an orange, the probability is 100 percent.If he doesn't have an orange, the probability is 0 percent.He either has it or he doesn't.
From our point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 50 percent. From his point of view, the probability that he has an orange is 100percent or 0 percent.
So the probability depends on the point of view or how much you know.
People see things From different points of view. This often leads to arguments between people.
Here's some examples.
From this man's point of view, he is relaxing. he needs to relax because he has been working too hard. He hasn't been getting enough sleep.
His wife sees things differently. She isn't aware of how hard he has been working. From her point of view, he's doing nothing. However, she knows what needs to be done around the hours. It isn't fair that she has to work while he does nothing.
When people see things From different points of view, they often come to different conclusions. This difference can cause real conmunication problems.
网友评论